Markets are also instruments of power when access, capital, technology and supply are strategically controlled.
Trade rules, sanctions, subsidies, procurement, investment screening and export controls can alter strategic behaviour without the use of military force. They also create second-order effects for companies, investors and supply chains that are often poorly captured by purely economic analysis.
Strategic Horizon studies how economic tools convert into leverage, resilience or unintended vulnerability.
Economic interdependence is neither automatically stabilising nor automatically dangerous. Its strategic effect depends on concentration, substitutability, switching costs, legal authority and the distribution of pain. We focus on where commercial optimisation collides with national resilience and where industrial policy changes the underlying capability balance.
Economic-statecraft exposure affects sourcing, investment, technology choice, market entry and capital structure. Our analysis identifies where policy can change commercial assumptions and where private decisions can create or reduce strategic dependency.
